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A lot commentary about the future of journalism and the need for large, well-funded media organizations centers around the need for the fourth estate to stand up to the other, equally well-funded estates.

Seth Godin weighs in with a post entitled "When newspapers are gone, what will you miss?," notes that only newspapers seem to be able to keep government honest.

I worry about the quality of a democracy when the the state government or the local government can do what it wants without intelligent coverage. I worry about the abuse of power when the only thing a corrupt official needs to worry about is the TV news. I worry about the quality of legislation when there isn't a passionate, unbiased reporter there to explain it to us.

And the consensus seems to be that individual or freelance reporter/bloggers won't be able to withstand the charge of powerful interests bearing lawyers.

But cynics and doubters should keep in mind that the future is very difficult to predict--in fact, who would have imagined back in 2000 that newspapers would be as threatened as they are today by the Internet.

I can certainly imagine bloggers getting pro-bono help from high powered attorneys, or even large foundations providing funds to journalists who are being sued.

I'm sure there are other solutions that will emerge as the need arises. But there's certainly no reason to cling to the current newspaper-as-avatar-of-journalism model if what we're looking for is a free press holding accountable the powers-that-be.

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Michael Hickins Comment by Michael Hickins on January 21, 2009 at 10:41am
I think I agree. Even in situations where the parent media company spins off a digital child, they tend to strangle the infant when the going gets tough. Maybe Wired is an exception to this.
The idea is that disruptive technologies are a way to attract people or companies that aren't customers yet--because current customers would be satisfied with only incremental improvements to the original product. That would describe the NYT site perfectly, right? It's the paper plus some other good stuff added from time to time (blogs, comments, etc.) that is good enough for the likes of (yikes!) me, but not at all enticing to a younger generation.
So I guess the question is, what is the THING (some on-demand, factual yet opinionated information stream) that people who don't read newspapers would want... and that us old fogeys would recognize (a posteriori) as a replacement for newspapers.
I think the tendency is to think this will come from the entertainment side of the world, but that's only because that's the direction that bad TV news has taken.
No, and I agree with you, it will still come out of something other than traditional press. Perhaps the THING will be an unintended consequence of something dystopic at its origin (like Big Brother gone soft, or many, competing Big Brothers fighting for our attention with their opposing view-points).
Maybe we should post this discussion to a wider venue? I'm not half as smart as some of the people in this community...
Mac Slocum Comment by Mac Slocum on January 21, 2009 at 10:37am
I'm not sure how you feel, but all this "woe is me" nonsense from the newspaper industry is getting a bit thick. I'm now convinced that Clay Christensen's innovation work is at play in the digital transition, and the companies that will eventually emerge as major firms in the content world will form outsi
Michael Hickins Comment by Michael Hickins on January 21, 2009 at 9:34am
I'm sure a lot of people caught the story in the Observer about magazines cutting back on their Web presence as part of their belt-tightening exercise. It's human nature-people cling to what they know and understand best, what they are most comfortable with; but it's still infuriating to see executives continue to mismanage their businesses to the detriment of our industry--and lots of precious jobs.
Reading 2.0 Comment by Reading 2.0 on January 21, 2009 at 8:55am
(Note -- the previous comment was from Mac Slocum. Signed in under a different account, sorry!)
Reading 2.0 Comment by Reading 2.0 on January 21, 2009 at 8:53am
Agreed. People within the newspaper industry mistakenly combine the duties of the fourth estate with the structure of the business. The fourth estate *is* important and I have faith it will persist if not in newspaper form, then something else. But the lumbering inefficiencies of newspaper businesses are no longer viable, and that's why it's all falling apart.
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